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Category: Investment News / Investments / August 2006

 

Record bonus declaration for SA's largest guaranteed fund

 

Old Mutual Corporate has declared the highest ever bonus rate, and real total return, on the Guaranteed Fund since the inception of the portfolio almost forty years ago.

With a CPI inflation rate of 4.9% for the twelve months to June, the 26% bonus rate declared for this period equates to a real (in excess of inflation) return of over 21%. The bonus rate is gross of tax and investment administration fees.

For investors in the Guaranteed Fund, the strong bonus declaration means that while they have participated in the strong performance of the JSE over the last year, they now have the comfort of knowing that a portion of their returns are locked in during the period of volatility currently being experienced by the equity markets.

The guaranteed portion of the bonus declared to June 2006 is 10%, which also comfortably exceeds the inflation rate for the year.

Braam Naudé, Head of Institutional Smoothed Bonus Portfolios at Old Mutual, explains that the assets backing the Guaranteed Fund benefited from the excellent market performance of the past three years. 

"Even allowing for the 26% bonus the Guaranteed Fund remains well positioned to deliver on its objective of providing ongoing inflation-beating returns with greater stability than the market.

"The most recent market volatility only confirms what we already knew: that uncertainty is certain! In particular, the perception developed over the last three years that market conditions are only positive, is unlikely to be sustained."

He says smoothed bonus portfolios recognize this uncertainty and their design has proved capable of managing it. "Therefore, the declaration of this exceptional bonus does not inhibit the confidence we have in our ability to declare positive, stable bonuses when the investment markets are not performing."

Meeting the long term needs of investors

The graph below shows annual Guaranteed Fund returns and annual CPI inflation, on a rolling 5-year basis since inception of the Guaranteed Fund. It demonstrates that Guaranteed Fund returns have met or exceeded inflation, over each 5-year period shown, except briefly during the late-1970's, at the end of a prolonged period of declining markets in a relatively high inflation environment.

 

With investors clamouring for stable long-term real returns, the Guaranteed Fund's track record of an average annual real return of 7.8% over the last 10 years and 4.8% over the last 39 years shows it is clearly able to meet these needs.

As well as their short term needs

In addition to meeting the long-term objectives of investors, a fundamental aim of the Guaranteed Fund is also to provide relatively stable returns in the shorter-term.

The Guaranteed Fund has never exposed its investors to a negative return, not even when volatile markets dragged investors into the red, illustrating the robustness and resilience of the product in all market conditions.

The graph below shows the distribution of returns on a notional balanced portfolio (comprised of 60% JSE All Share Total Return and 40% All Bond Total Return) and the Guaranteed Fund each year since inception in 1967. With a far narrower range of returns, the Guaranteed Fund has clearly been more stable than the market.

 

This illustrates how Guaranteed Fund returns have been concentrated in the range 5% to 20% (85% of returns have fallen within this range) - clearly demonstrating how the smoothing mechanism, the fundamental feature underlying the Guaranteed Fund, stabilises volatile market returns.

 

Source: ITInews – Insurance Times and Investments Online

www.itinews.co.za

 

 

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